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Young voters have heavily favored Democrats in recent elections. Certainty to vote dips to 54percent among African Americans and 39percent among Hispanics. Those compare with 64percent among whites, a majority of whom favor Republicans.At the same time, white voters with college degrees, a competitive voting bloc, are 14points more likely to say they are certain to vote than whites with some college or less, a group that has increasingly favored Republicansand voted for Trump at record levels.Sixty one percent of men and 56percent of women say they are certain to vote, with 55percent of female registered voters saying they favor a Democratic candidate and 50percent of men backing a Republican.

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